Refereed Publications

(bold = lab member; *postdoc, **grad student, §undergrad)


Vicarelli, M., R. DeConto, D. Connor Maresca, …, G. Fay, et al. 2023. Climate resilience in coastal Massachusetts: a survey of municipal challenges, plans, and needs. Mass Benchmarks – Journal of the Massachusetts Economy 25(2): 22-34.

*Maltby, KM, JG Mason, **H Cheng, G Fay, RL Selden, L Williams, CL Alves. 2023. Navigating concepts of social-ecological resilience in marine fisheries under climate change: shared challenges and recommendations from the northeast United States, ICES Journal of Marine Science, 2023; fsad151,

**Winton, M.V., G. Fay, G. Skomal. 2023. An open spatial capture-recapture framework for estimating the abundance and seasonal dynamics of white sharks at aggregation sites. Marine Ecology Progress Series 715:1-25.

*Perryman, H., IC Kaplan, JL Blanchard, G Fay, SK Gaichas, VL McGregor, HN Morzaria-Luna, J Porobic, H Townsend, EA Fulton. 2023. Atlantis Ecosystem Model Summit 2022: report from a workshop. Ecological Modelling 483: 110442.

*Silva, T, §T Breault, TM Lowery, **NM Calabrese, KDE Stokesbury, DN Wiley, G Fay. 2023. Investigating spatial overlap between northern sand lance (Ammodytes dubius) and Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) with video trawl technology. Fisheries Research 265: 106746.

Karp, MA, JS Link, **Max Grezlik, S Cadrin, G Fay, P Lynch, et al. 2023. Increasing the uptake of multispecies models in fisheries management. ICES Journal of Marine Science.


**Tran, M, G Fay, BD Stewart, KDE Stokesbury. 2022. Resiliency of marine benthic communities in sea scallop rotational management areas on Georges Bank. Journal of Shellfish Research 41:1-9.

Legault, CM., J Wiedenmann, J Deroba, G Fay, TJ Miller, E Brooks, R Bell, **J Langan, J Cournane, A Jones, B Muffley. 2022. Data Rich but Model Resistant: An Evaluation of Data-Limited Methods to Manage Fisheries with Failed Age-based Stock Assessments. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences.

**Danaher-Garcia, NK, R Connor, G Fay, K Melillo-Sweeting, KM Dudzinski. 2022. The Partial Merger of Two Dolphin Societies. Royal Society Open Science 9(8), p.211963.

**Danaher-Garcia, NK, R Connor, G Fay, K Melillo-Sweeting, KM Dudzinski. 2022. Using Social Network Analysis to Confirm the ‘Gambit of the Group’ Hypothesis for a Small Cetacean. Behavioral Processes 200, p.104694.

Stokesbury, KDE, G Fay, R Griffin. 2022. A framework for categorizing the interactions of offshore windfarms and fisheries. ICES Journal of Marine Science.


*Silva, T.L., DN Wiley, G Fay. 2021. A hierarchical modelling approach to estimating humpback whale abundance from sand lance abundance. Ecological Modelling 456, 109662.

Patel, S.H., **MV Winton, JM Hatch, HL Haas, VS Saba, G Fay, RJ Smolowitz. 2021. Projected shifts in loggerhead sea turtle thermal habitat in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean due to climate change. Scientific Reports 11, 8850.

Froehlich, H. E., R Gentry, SE Lester, RS Cottrell, G Fay, TA Branch, J Gephart, E White, JK Baum. 2021. Securing a sustainable future for US seafood in the wake of a global crisis. Marine Policy 124: 104328.

**Lucey, SM, KY Aydin, SK Gaichas, SX Cadrin, G Fay, MJ Fogarty, AE Punt. 2021. Evaluating fishery management strategies using an ecosystem model as an operating model. Fisheries Research 234: 105780.

**Hansell, A., T.H. Curtis, J Carlson, E Cortés, G. Fay, S.X. Cadrin. 2021. Stock Assessment of the Lemon Shark (Negaprion brevirostris) off the Southeast United States. North American Journal of Fisheries Management 41: 35–48.


**Silva, E.N.S., A. Gangopadhyay, G. Fay, M.K.V. Welandawe, G. Gawarkiewicz, **A.M. Silver, M. Monim, J. Clark. 2020. A survival analysis of the Gulf Stream warm core rings. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 125: 10. e2020JC016507.

*T.L. Silva, M Thompson, P Hong, D Wiley, H Baumann, L Kaufman, J Llopiz, J Suca, G Fay. 2020. High collocation between sand lance and top predators in the southwestern Gulf of Maine. Conservation Science and Practice 3: 2.e274.

**Hart, A.R., G. Fay. 2020. Applying tree analysis to assess combinations of ecosystem-based fisheries management actions in Management Strategy Evaluation. Fisheries Research 225:105466.

*Trijoulet, V., G. Fay, T.J. Miller. 2020. Performance of a state‐space multispecies model: What are the consequences of ignoring predation and process errors in stock assessments? Journal of Applied Ecology 57:121-135.


*Tam, J.C., G. Fay, J.S. Link. 2019. Better Together: the uses of ecological and socio-economic indicators with end-to-end models in marine ecosystem based management. Frontiers in Marine Science. 6:560. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00560.

Pethybridge, H.R., M. Weijerman, *H. Perrymann,  A. Audzijonyte, J. Porobic, V. McGregor, R. Girardin, C. Bulman, *K. Ortega-Cisneros, M. Sinerchia, T. Hutton, H. Lozano-Montes, M. Mori, C. Novaglio, G. Fay, R. Gorton, E. Fulton. 2019. Calibrating process-based marine ecosystem models: An example case using Atlantis. Ecological Modelling 412. 108822.

*Trijoulet, V., G. Fay, K. Curti, B. Smith, T.J. Miller. 2019. Performance of multispecies assessment models: insights on the influence of diet data. ICES Journal of Marine Science 76: 1464-1476.

Fay, G., G. DePiper, S. Steinback, R.J. Gamble, J.S. Link. 2019. Economic and ecosystem effects of fishing on the Northeast US shelf. Frontiers in Marine Science. 6:133. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00133

**Liu, C., G.W. Cowles, D.R. Zemeckis, G. Fay, A. Le Bris, S.X. Cadrin. 2019. A hardware-accelerated particle filter for the geolocation of demersal fishes. Fisheries Research 213: 160-171.

*Silva, T.L., G. Fay, T.A. Mooney, J. Robbins, M.T. Weinrich, C.D. Carson, T.V.N. Cole, M.A. Thompson, D.N. Wiley. 2019. Toothed whale habitat use in a marine protected area using point process models. Marine Ecology Progress Series 609: 239-256.

Cadrin, S.X., D.R. Goethel, **M.R. Morse, G. Fay, L.A. Kerr. 2019. “So, where do you come from?” The impact of assumed spatial population structure on estimates of recruitment. Fisheries Research 217: 156-168.


Kneebone, J., **M.V. Winton, A. Danylchuk, J. Chisholm, G.B. Skomal. 2018. An assessment of juvenile sand tiger (Carcharias taurus) activity patterns in a seasonal nursery using accelerometer transmitters. Environmental Biology of Fishes 101: 1739-1756.

**Winton, M.V., J. Kneebone, D. Zemeckis, G. Fay. 2018. A spatial point process model to estimate individual centers of activity from passive acoustic telemetry data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 9: 2262-2272.

Olsen, E., I.C. Kaplan, C. Ainsworth, G. Fay, S. Gaichas, R. Gamble, R. Girardin, C.H. Eide, T.F. Ihde, H. Morzaria-Luna, **K.F. Johnson, M. Savina-Rolland, H. Townsend, M. Weijerman, E.A. Fulton, J.S. Link. 2018. Ocean Futures Under Ocean Acidification, Marine Protection, and Changing Fishing Pressures Explored Using a Worldwide Suite of Ecosystem Models. Frontiers in Marine Science 5:64. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2018.00064

**Wildermuth, R.P., G. Fay, S.K. Gaichas. 2018. Structural uncertainty in qualitative models for ecosystem-based management of Georges Bank. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 75: 1635-1643.

**Winton, M.V., G. Fay, H.L. Haas, M. Arendt, S. Barco, M.C. James, C. Sasso, R. Smolowitz. 2018. Estimating the distribution and relative density of satellite-tagged loggerhead sea turtles in the western North Atlantic using geostatistical mixed effects models. Marine Ecology Progress Series 586: 217–232.

Punt, A.E., J. Day, G. Fay, M. Haddon, N. Klaer, L.R. Little, **K.J. Privitera-Johnson, A.D.M. Smith, D.C. Smith, M. Sporcic, R.B. Thomson, G.N. Tuck, J. Upston, S.E. Wayte. 2018. Retrospective investigation of assessment uncertainty for fish stocks off southeast Australia. Fisheries Research 198: 117-128.


Samhouri, J.F., K.S. Andrews, G. Fay, C.J. Harvey, E.L. Hazen, **S.M. Hennessey, K. Holsman, M.E. Hunsicker, S.I. Large, K.N. Marshall, A.C. Stier, *J.C. Tam, S.G. Zador. 2017. Defining ecosystem thresholds for human activities and environmental pressures in the California Current. Ecosphere 8(6):e01860. 10.1002/ecs2.1860.

DePiper, G., S. Gaichas, S. Lucey, P.P. da Silva, M.R. Anderson, H. Breeze, A. Bundy, P.M. Clay, G. Fay, R. Gamble, R.S. Gregory, P. Fratantoni, C.L.L. Johnson, M. Koen-Alonso, K. Kleisner, J. Olson, *C.T. Perretti, P. Pepin, F. Phelan, V. Saba, L.A. Smith, J. Tam, N. Templeman, **R.P. Wildermuth. 2017. Operationalizing Integrated Ecosystem Assessments within a Multidisciplinary Team: Lessons Learned from a Worked Example. ICES Journal of Marine Science 74: 2076–2086.

**Winton M.V., C. Huntsberger, D. Rudders, G. DeCelles, K. Thompson, K. Goetting, R. Smolowitz. 2017. Spatiotemporal patterns of flatfish bycatch in two scallop access areas on Georges Bank. Journal of Northwest Atlantic Fishery Science 49: 23-37.

Fay, G., J.S. Link, J.A. Hare. 2017. Assessing the effects of ocean acidification in the Northeast US using an end-to-end marine ecosystem model. Ecological Modelling 347: 1-10.

Gaichas, S.K., M. Fogarty, G. DePiper, G. Fay, R. Gamble, S. Lucey, L. Smith. 2017. Combining stock, multispecies, and ecosystem level fishery objectives within an operational management procedure: simulations to start the conversation. ICES Journal of Marine Science 74: 552-565.


Weijerman, M., J.S. Link, E.A. Fulton, E. Olsen, H. Townsend, S. Gaichas, C. Hansen, M. Skern-Mauritzen, I.C. Kaplan, R. Gamble, G. Fay, M. Savina, C. Ainsworth, I. van Putten, R. Gorton, R. Brainard, K. Larsen, T. Hutton. 2016. Atlantis Ecosystem Model Summit: Report from a workshop. Ecological Modelling 335: 35-38.

Olsen, E., G. Fay, S. Gaichas, R. Gamble, S. Lucey, and J.S. Link. 2016. Ecosystem Model Skill Assessment. Yes We Can! PLoS ONE 11(1): e0146467. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0146467


Fay, G., J.S. Link, S.I. Large, and R.J. Gamble. 2015. Management performance of ecological indicators in the Georges Bank finfish fishery. ICES Journal of Marine Science 72: 1285-1296.

Griffiths, S.P., and G. Fay. 2015. Including recreational fisheries data in stock assessment: implications for model performance and subsequent management strategies. Fisheries Management and Ecology 22: 192-212.

Large, S.I., G. Fay, K.D. Friedland, and J.S. Link. 2015. Quantifying patterns of change in marine ecosystem response to multiple pressures. PLoS ONE.10.1371/journal.pone.0119922.

Large, S.I., G. Fay, K.D. Friedland, and J.S. Link. 2015. Critical points in ecosystem responses to fishing and environmental pressures. Marine Ecology Progress Series 521: 1-17.


Little, L.R., J. Parslow, G. Fay, A.D.M. Smith, R.Q. Grafton, A.E. Punt, and G.N. Tuck. 2014. Environmental derivatives, risk analysis and conservation management. Conservation Letters 7: 196-207.

2004 – 2013

Fay, G., and A.E. Punt. 2013. Methods for estimating spatial trends in Steller sea lion pup production using the Kalman filter. Ecological Applications 23: 1455-1474.

Fay, G., S.I. Large, J.S. Link, and R.J. Gamble. 2013. Testing systemic fishing responses with ecosystem indicators. Ecological Modelling 265: 45-55.

Large, S.I., G. Fay, K. Friedland, and J.S. Link. 2013. Defining trends and thresholds in responses of ecological indicators to fishing and environmental pressures. ICES Journal of Marine Science 70: 755-767.

Klaer, N.L., S.E. Wayte, and G. Fay. 2012. An evaluation of the performance of a harvest strategy that uses an average-length-based assessment method. Fisheries Research 134-136: 42-51.

Fay, G., A.E. Punt, and A.D.M. Smith. 2011. Impacts of spatial uncertainty on performance of age structure-based harvest strategies for blue eye trevalla (Hyperoglyphe antarctica). Fisheries Research 110: 391-407.

Smith, A.D.M., D.C. Smith, G.N. Tuck, N. Klaer, A.E. Punt, I. Knuckey, J. Prince, A. Morison, R. Kloser, M. Haddon, S. Wayte, J. Day, G. Fay, F. Pribac, M. Fuller, B. Taylor, L.R. Little. 2008. Experience in implementing harvest strategies in Australia’s south-eastern fisheries. Fisheries Research 94: 373-379.

Branch, T.A., R. Hilborn, A.C. Haynie, G. Fay, L. Flynn, J. Griffiths, K.N. Marshall, J.K. Randall, J.M. Scheuerell, E.J. Ward, M. Young. 2006. Fleet dynamics and fishermen behavior: lessons for fisheries managers. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 63: 1647-1668.

Fay, G. and A.E. Punt. 2006. Modeling spatial dynamics of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus) using Maximum Likelihood and Bayesian methods: evaluating causes for population decline. Pages 405-433 in: A.W. Trites, S. Atkinson, D.P. DeMaster, L.W. Fritz, T.S. Gelatt, L.D. Rea, and K. Wynne (eds.) Sea lions of the world. Alaska Sea Grant College Program, University of Alaska Fairbanks.

Punt, A.E. and G. Fay. 2006. Can experimental manipulation be used to determine the cause of the decline of western stock of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus)? Pages 435-454 in: A.W. Trites, S. Atkinson, D.P. DeMaster, L.W. Fritz, T.S. Gelatt, L.D. Rea, and K. Wynne (eds.) Sea lions of the world. Alaska Sea Grant College Program, University of Alaska Fairbanks.

Punt, A.E., C. Allison and G. Fay. 2004. An examination of assessment models for the Eastern North Pacific gray whale based on inertial dynamics. Journal of Cetacean Research and Management 6: 121-132.

Selected Technical Reports

Fay, G. 2011. Stock Assessment of the Macquarie Island fishery for Patagonian toothfish (Dissostichus eleginoides) using data up to and including June 2010. Technical report presented to the Sub-Antarctic Resource Assessment Group (SARAG). 61p.

Fay, G. and Tuck, G.N. (eds.) 2011. Development of a multi-gear spatially explicit assessment and management strategy evaluation for the Macquarie Island Patagonian toothfish fishery. Australian Fisheries Management Authority and CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Hobart. 181p.

Griffiths, S., J. Pepperell, M. Tonks, G. Fay, W. Venables, J.M. Lyle, L. Olyott, W. Sawynok, and S. Edgar. 2010. Developing innovative and cost-effective tools for monitoring recreational fishing in Commonwealth fisheries. FRDC Final Report 2007/014. 170p.

Tuck, G.N. and G. Fay. 2010. Silver warehou (Seriolella punctata) stock assessment based on data up to 2008. Pages 50-75 in Tuck, G.N. (ed.) 2010. Stock Assessment for the Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery 2009. Part 1. Australian Fisheries Management Authority and CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Hobart. 334p.

Fay, G. 2005. Stock Assessment and Status of Longspine Thornyhead (Sebastolobus altivelis) off California, Oregon and Washington in 2005. Pacific Fishery Management Council, 7700 Ambassador Place NE, Suite 200, Portland, OR 97220. 147p.

Fay, G. 2004. Stock assessment for jackass morwong (Nemadactylus macropterus) based on data up to 2002. Pages 197-278 in Tuck, G.N. and Smith, A.D.M. (eds.) 2004. Stock assessment for South East and Southern Shark Fishery Species. Report of FRDC 2001/005. CSIRO Marine Research, Hobart. 419p.

Punt, A.E. and G. Fay. 2003. Estimation of Steller sea lion population dynamics parameters. Report to the North Pacific Universities Marine Mammal Consortium. 48p.

Punt, A.E. and G. Fay. 2002. Methods for Determining Extinction risk and Recovery Probability of Steller Sea Lion Populations Subject to Harvesting, Demographic and Environmental Stochasticity, and Catastrophic Events. Final Report to NMFS Steller sea lion recovery team. 52p.